The ports, rebuilt from open data

• 13.5-19.5 million t Ukraine farm exports below the pace before July (central case; the range comes from two ways of measuring the pace before July)range 0-34 million t (low case: back to the pace before July) · method
• US$ 1.5 billion extra import bill (wheat, maize, sunflower oil), 10 exposed countries (Largest bills: Egypt $558m, Turkey $278m, Bangladesh $205m)range 0.5-3.4 billion · method
• 1.1-2.4 million more people in acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3+) (central case; the range shows how strongly hunger responds to prices)all scenarios 0.43-5.0 million · method
• ~14 million t Russian wheat exports below the forecast pacerange 4.3-20.5 million t · method

Model scenario, not observed. Central case; the range of all scenarios is shown in grey.