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Active warfare in Iran and Sudan disrupts supply chains while driving catastrophic food insecurity levels.
Active warfare in Iran now involves direct US and Israeli military engagement following February escalation, imposing a Hormuz blockade that restricts Gulf energy exports. Simultaneously, Sudan's civil war between SAF and RSF forces has killed over 150,000 people, displacing millions across border regions. In Haiti, armed gangs control ninety percent of Port-au-Prince, collapsing state authority. Myanmar resistance forces continue nationwide offensives against junta holdings. Global food prices remain elevated, with oil indices surging due to Middle East tension. Cyclone Sinlaku-26 affects over 52,000 people in vulnerable coastal zones, compounding existing displacement crises.
Humanitarian access constraints are tightening across three continents due to these concurrent conflicts. The Hormuz blockade directly threatens grain shipments to East Africa, exacerbating drought conditions in Somalia and Kenya. Economic collapse in Iran and Cuba drives migration pressures toward neighboring stable states, straining reception capacities. In Sudan and Myanmar, bombardment of civilian infrastructure prevents aid delivery to besieged populations. Operational budgets face severe strain as fuel costs rise alongside security insurance premiums for maritime routes. Relief agencies must preposition stocks in Djibouti and Thailand to bypass active conflict zones while negotiating access with non-state armed groups controlling key transit corridors.
Watch items
- Iran — Hormuz blockade impact on Gulf food import volumes
- Sudan — RSF siege operations blocking El Fasher aid access
- Haiti — Gang control restricting Port-au-Prince humanitarian corridor security